Wednesday, September 7, 2016

Messing Around With Fantasy Football #1

In this first MAWFF post, I take a quick look at how fantasy scoring has evolved over the last 10 years.  In the graph below, I show the following:
  • Top 20 Players by Average Points Per Game by Position by Year
  • Must have played at least 10 games
  • Graph compares Points Per Game by Yards Gained vs Points Per Game by TD


A couple notable trends stick out:
  1. QB:  Notable rise in points per game in both yard and TD points.
  2. RB:  Reduction in both yard and TD points.  This could be due to a reduction in overall RB productivity as the passing game has increased and/or a spreading of the RB load with more RBs by committee in use.
  3. TE:  Small but meaningful increase in TE offensive productivity, especially at the top end with the likes of Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham.
  4. WR: Not a huge change over 10 years.  With the increase in QB productivity, the receiving yards and TDs look to be going to non-top 20 WRs.  TEs and pass-catching RBs are the likely beneficiaries.
What do you guys think?  How has this affected your draft over the last couple years?


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